2020 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary

The 2020 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary took place on March 3, 2020, as one of 15 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Oklahoma primary was a semi-closed primary, with the state awarding 43 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, 37 of whom were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Former vice president Joe Biden won another southern primary by a large margin with almost 39% of the vote and 21 delegates, while Senator Bernie Sanders placed second with around 25% and 13 delegates. Former mayor Michael Bloomberg and Senator Elizabeth Warren did not reach the threshold, only getting a few district delegates. The election was a remarkable shift from 2016, when Sanders won nearly every county and easily defeated Hillary Clinton by a double digit margin.

Procedure

Oklahoma was one of 14 states and one territory holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday".[1] Voting took place throughout the state from 7:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. In the semi-closed primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 42 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between four and six were allocated to each of the state's five congressional districts, and another five were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to eight at-large delegates.[2] The Super Tuesday primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on the first shared date or on a March date in general.[3]

The state convention was subsequently held on April 4, 2020, in Tulsa to vote on the national convention delegates. The state delegation also included six unpledged PLEO delegates: five members of the Democratic National Committee and a single representative from Congress, Kendra Horn.[2]

Pledged nationalconvention delegates
TypeDel.
CD15
CD24
CD34
CD45
CD56
PLEO5
At-large8
Total pledged delegates37

Candidates

The following 14 candidates filed and were on the ballot in Oklahoma:

Running

Withdrawn

Polling

Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDateupdatedDatespolledJoeBidenBernieSandersMichaelBloombergElizabethWarrenTulsiGabbardOther/Undecided[b]
270 to Win[4]March 3, 2020February 17–March 2, 202028.0%23.7%16.0%12.3%1.5%18.5%
RealClear Politics[5]March 3, 2020Insufficient recent polling to supply an average.
FiveThirtyEight[6]March 3, 2020until March 2, 2020[c]30.6%22.1%13.7%13.6%1.1%18.9%
Average29.3%22.9%14.85%12.95%1.3%18.7%
Oklahoma primary results (March 3, 2020)38.7%25.4%13.9%13.4%1.7%6.9%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Oklahoma Democratic primary
Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorJoeBidenMichaelBloombergPeteButtigiegKamalaHarrisAmyKlobucharBernieSandersElizabethWarrenOtherUndecided
Mar 1–2, 2020Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race
Swayable[7]Mar 1–2, 2020472 (LV)± 6.0%38%11%1%1%26%13%9%[d]
Data for Progress[8]Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020300 (LV)± 5.5%35%19%28%16%2%[e]
SoonerPoll[9]Feb 17–21, 20204094.84%21%20%10%7%13%9%2%[f]19%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associated[10]Feb 10–13, 2020172 (LV)12%20%1%6%14%8%21%[g]9%
Dec 3, 2019Harris withdraws from the race
SoonerPoll[11]Jul 17–27, 201915226%6%8%1%5%12%11%[h]34%

Results

Popular vote share by county
  Biden—<30%
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
2020 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary[12]
CandidateVotes%Delegates[13]
Joe Biden117,63338.6621
Bernie Sanders77,42525.4513
Michael Bloomberg42,27013.892
Elizabeth Warren40,73213.391
Amy Klobuchar(withdrawn)[a]6,7332.21
Pete Buttigieg(withdrawn)[a]5,1151.68
Tulsi Gabbard5,1091.68
Tom Steyer(withdrawn)[a]2,0060.66
Andrew Yang(withdrawn)1,9970.66
Cory Booker(withdrawn)1,5300.50
Michael Bennet(withdrawn)1,2730.42
Marianne Williamson(withdrawn)1,1580.38
Deval Patrick(withdrawn)6800.22
Julian Castro(withdrawn)6200.20
Total304,281100%37

Results by county

2020 Oklahoma Democratic primary

(results per county)[12]

CountyJoe BidenBernie SandersMichael BloombergElizabeth WarrenAmy KlobucharPete ButtigiegTulsi GabbardTom SteyerAndrew YangCory BookerMichael BennetMarianne WilliamsonDeval PatrickJulian CastroTotal votes cast
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Adair42337.3323520.7418115.981008.83504.41201.77363.18232.0390.79121.06171.50161.4170.6240.351,133
Alfalfa7336.143115.354622.772411.8873.4762.9741.9810.5020.9952.480020.9910.5000202
Atoka27233.5811914.6914918.40718.77334.07232.84465.68303.70131.60182.22161.9870.8650.6280.99810
Beaver4235.591311.022521.191210.1743.3965.0854.2421.690032.5410.8521.6921.6910.85118
Beckham31533.8716517.7414415.4811512.37475.05171.83384.09192.04202.15161.7280.86121.2950.5490.97930
Blaine22237.699816.6411619.696310.70244.07162.72223.7471.1950.8530.5130.5161.0210.1730.51589
Bryan90137.3455623.0439016.162339.66712.94411.70632.61481.99311.28100.41311.28230.9550.21100.412,413
Caddo77736.6743420.4836717.322029.531014.77432.03572.69341.60291.37140.66160.76190.90170.8090.422,119
Canadian3,46038.182,48927.471,12012.361,32114.581691.861411.561511.67390.43460.51210.23420.46200.22210.23220.249,062
Carter1,16141.1850617.9549917.702418.55993.51652.31632.23411.45260.92351.24291.03321.14110.39110.392,819
Cherokee1,47034.021,18827.4965815.2344810.371774.101042.411012.34521.20280.65260.60240.56230.53150.3570.164,321
Choctaw32337.0414816.9712914.79829.40374.24293.33434.93182.06121.38141.61141.6180.9260.6991.03872
Cimarron2022.9989.201618.3955.75910.3433.4566.9033.4522.30910.3422.3011.150033.4587
Cleveland10,00934.129,63232.842,8699.785,22017.804211.444701.603091.05930.321270.43550.19440.15490.17160.05200.0729,334
Coal13734.257218.006716.75379.25102.5061.50328.00102.50102.5051.2592.2530.7520.5000400
Comanche2,99946.071,60224.6184412.975518.471011.551041.60811.24480.74470.72300.46210.32390.60270.41150.236,509
Cotton12835.364913.547520.723810.50154.14113.0492.49123.3161.6641.1020.5541.1061.6630.83362
Craig45836.6120816.6320216.1513110.47655.20362.88524.16272.16272.16120.96120.9670.56100.8040.321,251
Creek1,73738.0498221.5189119.5149910.931373.00821.80962.10250.55290.64220.48180.39270.59110.24100.224,566
Custer57136.0039424.8423614.8820713.05452.84291.83432.7180.50120.7670.44150.9590.5730.1970.441,586
Delaware1,11044.1037815.0249219.552098.30963.81512.03602.38281.11261.03130.52200.79120.48130.5290.362,517
Dewey8933.583212.085018.874115.47155.6672.64103.7731.1331.1362.2631.1310.3831.1320.75265
Ellis5530.222312.643117.033418.6873.8563.30116.0463.300010.5510.5542.2021.1010.55182
Garfield1,21540.2763921.1850516.7438512.76662.19702.32471.56180.60160.53120.40150.50120.4040.13130.433,017
Garvin63537.2729017.0229217.1419811.62895.22392.29492.88231.35221.29150.88191.12120.7090.53120.701,704
Grady1,22938.3862519.5247514.8342313.211213.78712.22812.53371.16331.03260.81220.69310.97130.41150.473,202
Grant9842.613716.093414.782812.17125.2252.1741.7452.170020.870031.3020.8700230
Greer12933.777218.855213.614712.30184.71143.66184.71102.6261.5741.0541.0530.7910.2641.05382
Harmon6036.592515.242917.68127.321810.9863.6621.2221.2242.4421.2210.6121.220010.61164
Harper5736.542012.822516.032113.4674.4963.8585.1353.2121.280010.6431.920010.64156
Haskell35538.8413314.5515717.18667.22485.25242.63343.72202.19293.17111.20101.0980.88131.4260.66914
Hughes36132.2315914.2020017.8612210.89756.70373.30534.73242.14221.96191.70181.61141.25100.8960.541,120
Jackson39545.3017620.1810612.16718.14202.29252.87222.52111.2691.03121.3860.6970.8040.4680.92872
Jefferson14837.954511.546416.414411.28266.6782.05133.33102.5630.7751.2882.0571.7930.7761.54390
Johnston26538.1811316.2812417.877110.23365.19131.87131.87131.87172.4591.3060.8640.5881.1520.29694
Kay1,07141.9250419.7339215.3432112.56662.58542.11441.72160.63200.78180.70170.67150.5970.27100.392,555
Kingfisher20632.1912920.1612118.918613.44325.00162.50182.8171.0981.2560.9430.4740.6330.4710.16640
Kiowa24842.257312.4411820.106410.90213.58162.73183.0750.8530.5161.0281.3620.3420.3430.51587
Latimer30534.3513314.9814215.99849.46616.87212.36485.41171.91232.59192.14121.35111.2491.0130.34888
Le Flore1,16838.4856018.4543514.332608.571083.56933.061294.25672.21601.98421.38331.09321.05321.05160.533,035
Lincoln84238.8040118.4837817.4226312.12863.96351.61632.90221.01190.88150.69190.88120.5570.3280.372,170
Logan1,23042.3664622.2538913.4040613.98702.41582.00361.24140.48120.41150.52100.3490.3160.2130.102,904
Love20935.1911218.8610317.34589.76233.87132.19284.71162.69172.8620.3440.6750.8440.6700594
Major9437.603514.004518.002811.2083.20114.40114.4041.6020.8062.4020.8020.800020.80250
Marshall33237.0914115.7518420.56859.50283.13323.58252.79121.3470.78171.90121.34111.2330.3460.67895
Mayes1,15537.4657618.6859219.2033810.961033.34481.56902.92461.49421.36300.97210.68160.52160.52100.323,083
McClain1,04839.4753420.1140415.2236613.79803.01572.15592.22210.79170.64371.39110.4170.2690.3450.192,655
McCurtain65739.1528116.7519211.441418.40714.23523.10855.07422.50352.09291.73331.97331.97130.77140.831,678
McIntosh69638.0330816.8335719.511769.62884.81301.64512.79231.26170.93191.04231.26180.98130.71110.601,830
Murray43938.6418115.9317315.231028.98595.19232.02413.61292.55171.50292.5590.79191.6770.6280.701,136
Muskogee2,46141.451,10818.661,12919.025409.102123.57781.311292.17580.98590.99500.84340.57390.66280.47120.205,937
Noble24633.2413117.7013618.3810514.19415.54233.11202.7040.5440.54141.8970.9530.4130.4130.41740
Nowata21833.2310415.8513720.889314.18395.95131.98192.9091.3771.0750.7671.0720.3020.3010.15656
Okfuskee27736.2112015.6914118.439312.16395.10151.96192.48111.4481.05162.0950.6591.1860.7860.78765
Oklahoma31,39441.3421,13027.828,44311.1211,43215.058321.101,0261.356750.891670.222980.391660.221450.191170.15530.07690.0975,947
Okmulgee1,25741.4250716.7164921.382357.741033.39632.08712.34300.99341.12250.82260.86140.46120.4090.303,035
Osage1,81744.2882120.0170417.164099.97832.02380.93761.85390.95270.66320.78160.39200.49110.27100.244,103
Ottawa94444.7441119.4827613.081808.53653.08592.80713.36351.66140.66180.8580.38140.66100.4750.242,110
Pawnee41935.3924020.2722218.7513010.98463.89181.52342.87141.18151.27110.93121.01121.01100.8410.081,184
Payne2,24034.921,78627.8474311.581,21618.961241.931141.78861.34180.28310.48210.3370.11120.19120.1950.086,415
Pittsburg1,34436.4570319.0759716.193559.632195.94752.031453.93391.06511.38501.36330.90391.06160.43210.573,687
Pontotoc1,11339.2373525.9138113.4330110.61722.54541.90481.69341.20270.95270.95230.81120.4270.2530.112,837
Pottawatomie1,88739.171,02221.2278616.3260712.601523.161072.22831.72370.77270.56230.48310.64240.50150.31160.334,817
Pushmataha25331.9811915.0414518.338711.00577.21202.53374.68222.7881.01101.26101.26111.3950.6370.88791
Roger Mills7731.563614.753112.703614.75187.38145.74114.5162.460072.8731.2310.4120.8220.82244
Rogers2,16836.131,36222.701,07017.8374012.331933.221252.081202.00520.87621.03340.57200.33310.52100.17130.226,000
Seminole68540.6031018.3827516.3018310.85613.62392.31442.61221.30140.83140.83191.1390.5350.3070.411,687
Sequoyah1,02339.9043116.8145517.752118.231064.13491.91933.63602.34311.21190.74391.52230.90100.39140.552,564
Stephens97742.2443018.5935315.2625611.07682.94492.12401.73251.08241.04401.73261.1290.3980.3580.352,313
Texas14634.768921.195312.625513.10133.10122.86143.3361.4371.6792.1440.9571.6730.7120.48420
Tillman17944.205613.837117.53307.41174.20153.70133.2151.2351.2351.2330.7420.4930.7410.25405
Tulsa21,09936.8917,23330.138,07014.118,08614.146731.187101.246271.101280.222160.381150.20830.15800.14350.06340.0657,189
Wagoner1,99839.381,16422.9589617.6652610.371362.68911.791142.25380.75320.63310.61140.2890.18120.24120.245,073
Washington1,38541.7971121.4552015.6941512.52782.35651.96521.57210.63180.54120.36100.30150.4530.0990.273,314
Washita21631.9112017.7311016.258512.56547.98213.10182.66142.0730.44142.0750.7460.8950.7460.89677
Woods14233.977217.227718.426615.79245.74133.1171.6740.960061.4420.4840.960010.24418
Woodward26935.3516421.5511515.1111014.45283.68162.10151.97121.5830.3981.0560.7960.7970.9220.26761
Total117,63338.6677,42525.4542,27013.8940,73213.396,7332.215,1151.685,1091.682,0060.661,9970.661,5300.501,2730.421,1580.386800.226200.20304,281

See also

Notes

  1. 123456Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, shortly before the election.
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  3. FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  4. Steyer and Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 7%
  5. Gabbard with 2%
  6. Gabbard with <1%, Patrick with <1% and Steyer with 1%
  7. "Likely not voting" with 14%; "other candidates" with 7%
  8. Booker and Bennet with 2%; Inslee, O'Rourke, Gillibrand, Bullock, Delaney, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 1%

References

  1. Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  2. 12"Oklahoma Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  3. "Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses". The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
  4. 270 to Win
  5. RealClear Politics
  6. FiveThirtyEight
  7. SwayableArchived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
  8. Data for Progress
  9. SoonerPoll
  10. Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associated
  11. SoonerPollArchived August 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  12. 12"Presidential Preferential Primary and Special Elections – March 3, 2020". OK Election Results. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  13. "How Many Delegates Do The 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates Have?". NPR.org. National Public Radio. Retrieved March 3, 2020.